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  • Poly Punter added blog Other
    2026-06-30 10:43:18 -
    Kalshi Just Sued a US State — and the Outcome Could Decide Who Gets to Regulate Prediction Markets
    Saving this one — a genuinely important regulatory battle unfolding in prediction markets right now. Kalshi has sued Illinois over Senate Bill 3019, a law taking effect July 1 that reclassifies its sports event contracts as state-regulated gambling, complete with licensing fees, a 15% tax, geofencing, and criminal penalties for non-compliance. Kalshi's defense centers on federal...
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  • Poly Punter added blog Other
    2026-06-25 07:26:18 -
    Messi at 39 Leads the World Cup Golden Boot — $31M in Prediction Markets Back Him
    Lionel Messi turned 39 on June 24, 2026—and celebrated by strengthening his lead in the FIFA World Cup Golden Boot race. With five goals, the Argentina captain tops the scoring chart and holds a 38% chance of winning the Golden Boot on Polymarket, ahead of Kylian Mbappé at 31%. The market has attracted more than $31 million in trading volume on Polymarket, with millions more on...
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  • Richard Charles added blog Other
    2026-04-24 10:03:58 -
    Prediction Markets Explained: A Complete Guide to Forecasting Systems
    Prediction markets are trading systems where people buy and sell contracts based on the outcome of future events. These events can include elections, economic indicators, sports results, weather outcomes, crypto prices, policy decisions, or company milestones. The core idea is simple: when people put money behind their beliefs, market prices can reveal what the crowd thinks is likely to happen....
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