Lionel Messi turned 39 on June 24, 2026—and celebrated by strengthening his lead in the FIFA World Cup Golden Boot race. With five goals, the Argentina captain tops the scoring chart and holds a 38% chance of winning the Golden Boot on Polymarket, ahead of Kylian Mbappé at 31%.

The market has attracted more than $31 million in trading volume on Polymarket, with millions more on Kalshi, reflecting strong confidence from prediction market traders. Unlike traditional punditry, prediction markets update in real time as participants put money behind their forecasts, creating a live measure of collective expectations.

With both Argentina and France advancing to the knockout rounds, the battle remains wide open. Every goal could dramatically shift the odds. At 39, Messi is not just chasing another record—he is proving that football's greatest story may still be unfolding. 
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